I think everyone overestimates the offensive capability of Hezbollah.It is defensive outwardly and has no ability to rise above the irritant level as regards northern Israel.
I think a strike would result in Iran leaving the NPT .The middle class opposition to the forces of conservatism ( Guards and rural society ) will crumble and regime change will remain the delusional idea it has always been.
The Isrealis can’t do anything on their own and I don’t see any strikes at all.The political fallout for Netanyahu of failure is too high and he has’nt the boldness of an Ariel Sharon.He will not act and he will blame Obama for it.
